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1.
BMJ Open ; 13(5): e070291, 2023 05 31.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-20234967

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to quantify the degree to which an underserved, Hispanic population in Los Angeles is impacted by SARS-CoV-2, and determine factors associated with paediatric seropositivity. DESIGN: Cross-sectional. SETTING: AltaMed, a Federally Qualified Health Center in Los Angeles. PARTICIPANTS: A random sample of households who had received healthcare at AltaMed Medical Group was invited to participate. Households with at least one adult and one paediatric participant between 5 and 17 years of age were eligible to participate. Consented participants completed a survey on social determinants of health and were tested for antibodies using Abbott Architect SARS-CoV-2-IgG and SARS-CoV-2-IgM tests. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Seropositive status. RESULTS: We analysed 390 adults (mean age in years, 38.98 (SD 12.11)) and 332 paediatric participants (11.26 (SD 3.51)) from 196 households. Estimated seropositivity was 52.11% (95% CI 49.61% to 55.19%) in paediatric participants and 63.58% (95% CI 60.39% to 65.24%) in adults. Seropositivity was 11.47% (95% CI 6.82% to 14.09%) lower in paediatric participants, but high relative to other populations. A household member with type 2 diabetes (OR 2.94 (95% CI 1.68 to 5.14)), receipt of food stamps (OR 1.66 (95% CI 1.08 to 2.56)) and lower head-of-household education (OR 1.73 (95% CI 1.06 to 2.84)) were associated with paediatric seropositivity. CONCLUSIONS: SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity is high in Hispanic children and adolescents in Los Angeles. Food insecure households with low head-of-household education, and at least one household member with type 2 diabetes, had the highest risk. These factors may inform paediatrician COVID-19 mitigation recommendations. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04901624.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Adolescent , Adult , Humans , Child , SARS-CoV-2 , Los Angeles/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Antibodies, Viral , Seroepidemiologic Studies
2.
Alcohol Alcohol ; 58(3): 238-246, 2023 May 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2278223

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To slow the spread of the COVID-19 virus, governments across the globe instituted stay-at-home orders leading to increased stress and social isolation. Not surprisingly, alcohol sales increased during this period. While most studies primarily focused on alcohol consumption among college students or adults, this study investigates alcohol misuse among marginalized youth in the USA. We examined risk factors associated with hazardous alcohol use and binge drinking including risk behaviors, life stressors and demographic characteristics. METHODS: In October 2020, youth living with or at high risk for acquiring human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), participating in community-based research to improve HIV prevention and care, were invited to complete an online survey to assess the impact of the stay-at-home orders on multiple aspects of their daily life. RESULTS: Respondents (n = 478) were on average 23 years old; cisgender (84%), not-heterosexual (86.6%), Latino or Black/African American (73%) and assigned male at birth (83%); 52% reported being employed and 14% reported living with HIV. White participants and those who use drugs had higher odds of hazardous alcohol use and binge drinking, compared with other race categories and non-drug users, respectively. CONCLUSION: Contrary to findings from adult studies, we did not observe an increase in hazardous or binge drinking among youth at risk for HIV. Hazardous alcohol use and binge drinking was more likely among White participants, those who use drugs and those who were hazardous/binge drinkers prior to the COVID-19 lockdown, which points to the importance of identifying and treating youth who misuse alcohol early to prevent future alcohol misuse.


Subject(s)
Alcoholism , Binge Drinking , COVID-19 , HIV Infections , Adult , Infant, Newborn , Humans , Male , Adolescent , Young Adult , Binge Drinking/epidemiology , Binge Drinking/prevention & control , Alcoholism/epidemiology , HIV , Los Angeles/epidemiology , New Orleans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Communicable Disease Control , Ethanol , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Infections/prevention & control
3.
J Am Board Fam Med ; 36(2): 240-250, 2023 04 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2253540

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Food insecurity is a major public health problem in the United States which was exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. We used a multi-method approach to understand barriers and facilitators to implementing food insecurity screening and referrals at safety net health care clinics in Los Angeles County before the pandemic. METHODS: In 2018, we surveyed 1013 adult patients across eleven safety-net clinic waiting rooms in Los Angeles County. Descriptive statistics were generated to characterize food insecurity status, attitudes toward receiving food assistance, and use of public assistance programs. Twelve interviews with clinic staff explored effective and sustainable approaches to food insecurity screening and referral. RESULTS: Patients welcomed the opportunity to access food assistance in the clinic setting; 45% preferred discussing food issues directly with the doctor. Missed opportunities to screen for food insecurity and refer patients to food assistance were identified at the clinic level. Barriers to these opportunities included: competing demands on staff and clinic resources, difficulty establishing referral pathways, and doubts surrounding data. DISCUSSION: Integrating food insecurity assessment in clinical settings requires infrastructure support, staff training, clinic buy-in, and more coordination and oversight from local government, health center entities, and public health agencies.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pandemics , Adult , Humans , United States , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Safety-net Providers , COVID-19/epidemiology , Food Insecurity
4.
Community Ment Health J ; 59(4): 622-630, 2023 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2253136

ABSTRACT

Emergency department (ED) visits for psychiatric care in the US reportedly declined during the COVID-19 pandemic. This work, however, does not control for strong temporal patterning in visits before the pandemic and does not examine a potential "rebound" in demand for psychiatric care following the relaxation of initial societal restrictions. Here, we examine COVID-19-related perturbations in psychiatric care during and after the 1st stage of societal restrictions in the largest safety-net hospital in Los Angeles. We retrieved psychiatric ED visit data (98,888 total over 156 weeks, Jan 2018 to Dec 2020) from Los Angeles County + USC Medical Center. We applied interrupted time series methods to identify and control for autocorrelation in psychiatric ED visits before examining their relation with the 1st stage of societal restrictions (i.e., March 13 to May 8, 2020), as well as the subsequent "rebound" period of relaxed restrictions (i.e., after May 8, 2020). Psychiatric ED visits fell by 78.13 per week (i.e., 12%) during the 1st stage of societal restrictions (SD = 23.99, p < 0.01). Reductions in ED visits for alcohol use, substance use, and (to a lesser extent) anxiety disorders accounted for the overall decline. After the 1st stage of societal restrictions, however, we observe no "rebound" above expected values in psychiatric ED visits overall (coef = - 16.89, SD = 20.58, p = 0.41) or by diagnostic subtype. This pattern of results does not support speculation that, at the population level, foregoing ED care during initial societal restrictions subsequently induced a psychiatric "pandemic" of urgent visits.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Pandemics , Emergencies , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Emergency Service, Hospital , Retrospective Studies
5.
Pediatr Infect Dis J ; 42(5): 418-422, 2023 05 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2251296

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: It is well established that pregnant persons with SARS-CoV-2 are at an increased risk for preterm birth, however, less is known about perinatal outcomes for neonates with intrauterine exposure to SARS-CoV-2. METHODS: Characteristics of 50 SARS-CoV-2 positive neonates born to SARS-CoV-2 pregnant persons positive between May 22, 2020, and February 22, 2021, in Los Angeles County, CA, were assessed. Pattern of neonate SARS-CoV-2 test results and time to positive test was analyzed. Objective clinical severity criteria were applied to assess neonatal disease severity. RESULTS: Median gestational age was 39 weeks with 8 (16%) neonates born preterm. Most (74%) were asymptomatic, while 13 (26%) were symptomatic from any cause. Four (8%) symptomatic neonates met criteria for severe disease, of which 2 (4%) were likely secondary to COVID-19. The other 2 with severe disease had more likely alternate diagnoses, and 1 of these neonates subsequently died at 7 months of life. Among 12 (24%) that were positive within 24 hours after birth, one was persistently positive and represented likely intrauterine transmission. Sixteen (32%) were admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit. CONCLUSION: In this case series of 50 SARS-CoV-2 positive mother-neonate pairs, we found that most neonates were asymptomatic regardless of when they tested positive during the 14 days after birth, that there was relatively low risk of COVID-19 associated severe disease, and that intrauterine transmission can occur in rare cases. Although short-term outcomes are mostly promising, more research is needed to study long-term consequences of SARS-CoV-2 infection in neonates born to positive pregnant persons.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious , Premature Birth , Pregnancy , Female , Infant, Newborn , Humans , Infant , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/epidemiology , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/diagnosis , Premature Birth/epidemiology , Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical
7.
Public Health Nurs ; 40(3): 417-427, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2193178

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: People experiencing homelessness (PEH) have been especially impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, likely due to increased vulnerabilities stemming from chronic diseases, substance use, and mental health conditions. DESIGN: A case-control study to assess the presence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 among PEH and associations with key variables. SAMPLE: A convenience sample of 97 PEH in Skid Row, Los Angeles. MEASUREMENTS: A structured questionnaire assessing socio-demographic, mental health, drug and alcohol use, health care access, pandemic stress, and other COVID-19-specific questions. RESULTS: We found high anti-receptor binding domain (RBD) IgG titers among five of 15 PEH who reported no prior COVID-19 diagnosis or being vaccinated, suggesting undiagnosed and/or asymptomatic COVID-19. While anti-RBD IgG titers across vaccination categories were not statistically significant (p = .069), participants vaccinated with Janssen had the lowest mean anti-RBD IgG titers. In multivariable analysis, we found negative associations between level of SARS-CoV-2 antibody titers with the Janssen vaccine and depression; thus, a need for integrated care for PEH with depression and COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: Further research is warranted to confirm the immune response, initial and over time, to SARS-CoV-2 infection and to COVID-19 vaccinations, particularly among PEH whose immune systems may be impacted by multiple health conditions.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Ill-Housed Persons , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19 Testing , Case-Control Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Pandemics , Multimorbidity , Immunoglobulin G , Antibodies, Viral
8.
J Infect Dis ; 226(Suppl 3): S346-S352, 2022 10 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2062913

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate the feasibility and acceptability of engaging unhoused peer ambassadors (PAs) in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination efforts to reach people experiencing unsheltered homelessness in Los Angeles County. METHODS: From August to December 2021, vaccinated PAs aged ≥18 years who could provide informed consent were recruited during vaccination events for same-day participation. Events were held at encampments, service providers (eg, housing agencies, food lines, and mobile showers), and roving locations around Los Angeles. PAs were asked to join outreach alongside community health workers and shared their experience getting vaccinated, receiving a $25 gift card for each hour they participated. Postevent surveys evaluated how many PAs enrolled and how long they participated. In October 2021, we added a preliminary effectiveness evaluation of how many additional vaccinations were attributable to PAs. Staff who enrolled the PAs estimated the number of additional people vaccinated because of talking with the PA. RESULTS: A total of 117 PAs were enrolled at 103 events, participating for an average of 2 hours. At events with the effectiveness evaluation, 197 additional people were vaccinated over 167 PA hours ($21.19 gift card cost per additional person vaccinated), accounting for >25% of all vaccines given at these events. DISCUSSION: Recruiting same-day unhoused PAs is a feasible, acceptable, and preliminarily effective technique to increase COVID-19 vaccination in unsheltered settings. The findings can inform delivery of other health services for people experiencing homelessness.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Ill-Housed Persons , Vaccines , Adolescent , Adult , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines , Feasibility Studies , Humans , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Vaccination
9.
BMC Public Health ; 22(1): 1796, 2022 09 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2038716

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study describes the development and impact of a social marketing campaign in early 2020 intended to prevent and reduce methamphetamine use in Los Angeles County (LAC). We used social marketing principles and the transtheoretical model to design the campaign, which was intended to avoid stigmatization of methamphetamine users and communicate compassion, empathy, and support. METHODS: To evaluate its impact, we collected cross-sectional online survey data post-campaign (n = 1,873) from LAC residents in population segments considered higher risk for methamphetamine use. We examine associations between campaign exposure and outcomes using bivariate analyses and binary logistic regression models, which control for the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on methamphetamine use or likelihood of use. RESULTS: The analyses revealed that campaign exposure was associated with having more negative attitudes toward methamphetamine, calling LAC's substance abuse service helpline, using methamphetamine fewer days, and considering abstaining. Frequency of exposure to campaign advertisements was positively associated with calling the helpline, suggesting a campaign dose effect. COVID-19-related factors were associated with using methamphetamine in the past 30 days. CONCLUSIONS: Social marketing campaigns hold promise for impacting methamphetamine prevention and cessation behaviors. This study adds to the limited literature on mass marketing interventions to address this major health issue.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Methamphetamine , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Cross-Sectional Studies , Health Promotion , Humans , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Pandemics , Social Marketing
10.
Pediatr Infect Dis J ; 41(11): e453-e455, 2022 11 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2029113

ABSTRACT

We describe the epidemiology of COVID-19 exposure, preceding illness, and SARS-CoV-2 testing in a large population with MIS-C during the first 18 months of the COVID-19 pandemic. The majority of cases had exposure, preceding illness, or positive SARS-CoV-2 testing 4-8 weeks before MIS-C onset. Serology can help establish epidemiological link to COVID-19 when past infection or exposure are unknown.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/complications , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19 Testing , Child , Humans , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome/diagnosis , Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome/epidemiology
11.
Public Health Rep ; 137(6): 1207-1216, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2020750

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Achieving widespread vaccine acceptance across various employment sectors is key to a successful public health response to COVID-19, but little is known about factors influencing vaccine acceptance among essential non-health care workers. We examined factors influencing vaccine acceptance among a sample of essential non-health care workers in California. METHODS: We conducted a survey in early spring 2021 at 2 corporations in Los Angeles County, California, to identify and describe factors influencing vaccine acceptance and the ability of incentives to increase this acceptance. We used modified Poisson regression analysis to estimate adjusted prevalence ratios and a best-subset selection algorithm to identify the strongest factors influencing vaccine acceptance. RESULTS: Of 678 workers who completed the survey, 450 were unvaccinated. Among unvaccinated participants, having trust in information about the vaccine from public health experts, having ≥1 chronic health condition related to COVID-19 severity, being Asian, and perceiving risk for COVID-19 were factors that most influenced vaccine acceptance. Most (271 of 296, 91.6%) participants who had trust in information from public health experts and 30.6% (30 of 98) of participants who did not have trust in information from public health experts said that they would accept the vaccine. Seventeen of 24 (70.8%) vaccine-hesitant workers who had trust in information from public health experts and 12 of 72 (16.7%) vaccine-hesitant workers who did not have trust in this information said that they would be more likely to accept the vaccine if an incentive were offered. CONCLUSIONS: Efforts to increase vaccine coverage at workplaces should focus on improving trust in the vaccine and increasing public awareness that the vaccine is free.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Vaccines , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines , Humans , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Trust
12.
Prev Med ; 165(Pt A): 107241, 2022 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2008193

ABSTRACT

Gun violence rates increased in U.S. cities in 2020 and into 2021. Gun violence rates in U.S. cities is typically concentrated in racially segregated neighborhoods with higher poverty levels. However, poverty levels and demographics alone do not explain the high concentration of violence or its relative change over time. In this paper, we examine the extent to which the increase in shooting victimization in Philadelphia, New York, and Los Angeles during the 2020-2021 pandemic was concentrated in gun violence hot spots, and how the increase impacted race and ethnic disparities in shooting victimization rates. We find that 36% (Philadelphia), 47% (New York), and 55% (Los Angeles) of the increase in shootings observed during the period 2020-2021 occurred in the top decile of census block groups, by aggregate number of shootings, and that the race/ethnicity of victims in these gun violence hot spots were disproportionately Black and Hispanic. We discuss the implications of these findings as they relate to racial disparities in victimization and place-based efforts to reduce gun violence.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Firearms , Gun Violence , Humans , Pandemics , New York/epidemiology , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Philadelphia/epidemiology
13.
Public Health Rep ; 137(6): 1170-1177, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2002026

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Understanding COVID-19-related mortality among the large population of people experiencing homelessness (PEH) in Los Angeles County (LA County) may inform public health policies to protect this vulnerable group. We investigated the impact of COVID-19 on PEH compared with the general population in LA County. METHODS: We calculated crude COVID-19 mortality rates per 100 000 population and mortality rates adjusted for age, race, and sex/gender among PEH and compared them with the general population in LA County from March 1, 2020, through February 28, 2021. RESULTS: Among adults aged ≥18 years, the crude mortality rate per 100 000 population among PEH was 20% higher than among the general LA County population (348.7 vs 287.6). After adjusting for age, the mortality rate among PEH was 570.7 per 100 000 population. PEH had nearly twice the risk of dying from COVID-19 as people in the general LA County population; PEH aged 18-29 years had almost 8 times the risk of dying compared with their peers in the general LA County population. PEH had a higher risk of mortality than the general population after adjusting for race (standardized mortality ratio [SMR] = 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.6) and sex/gender (SMR = 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5). CONCLUSIONS: A higher risk of COVID-19-related death among PEH compared with the general population indicates the need for public health policies and interventions to protect this vulnerable group.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Ill-Housed Persons , Adolescent , Adult , Humans , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Social Problems
14.
Community Ment Health J ; 58(8): 1554-1562, 2022 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1942082

ABSTRACT

This study aimed to examine the depression and anxiety among men of color (primarily African American and Latinx) who have sex with men after the lockdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Outcomes included 21-item Beck Depression Inventory (BDI), 7-item Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD), and a 10-item COVID-related anxiety measure using a modified H1N1-related anxiety question. Independent variables were food insecurity and belief in government efficiency. Data were analyzed by Regression models with random cluster effects. Food insecurity experiences were significantly associated with higher depression (p < 0.001), higher anxiety (p < 0.001), and higher pandemic-related anxiety (p < 0.001). Higher levels of belief in government efficiency were significantly associated with lower depression (p < 0.05), less anxiety (p < 0.05), and less pandemic-related anxiety (p-value < 0.001). These findings emphasize the importance of establishing trust between government and at-risk communities when issuing public health policies, especially during unforeseen circumstances, as well as to ensure basic human rights, such as food security.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Sexual and Gender Minorities , Male , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Mental Health , Pandemics , Black or African American , Homosexuality, Male , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Depression/epidemiology , Depression/psychology , Communicable Disease Control , Anxiety/epidemiology , Anxiety/psychology
16.
Int J Infect Dis ; 122: 514-520, 2022 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1914474

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to characterize SARS-CoV-2 infection patterns in Los Angeles (LA) County youth followed at our institution during the first pandemic year. DESIGN: A prospective cohort of patients aged < 25 years who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 using reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assays between March 13, 2020, and March 31, 2021, was evaluated at a large LA County health network. Demographics, age distribution, and disease severity were analyzed. RESULTS: There were 28,088 youth aged < 25 years tested for SARS-CoV-2 using RT-PCR, with 1849 positive results identified (7%). Among the positive results, 475 of 11,922 (4%) were identified at the pandemic onset (March-September 2020) (Cohort 1) and 1374 of 16,166 (9%) between October 2020 and March 2021 (Cohort 2), P < 0.001. When disease severity was compared across cohorts, Cohort 2 had a greater proportion of asymptomatic and mild/moderate disease categories than Cohort 1 (98% vs 80%, respectively); conversely, Cohort 1 had a near-10-fold higher proportion of severe disease than Cohort 2 (17% vs 1.8%). Cohort 2 comprised younger patients with a mean age of 13.7 years vs 17.3 years in Cohort 1. Older age was associated with a higher percentage of infection, with 63% of all confirmed cases found in participants aged 19 to 25 years in Cohort 1, compared with 38% of confirmed cases in Cohort 2. Age increase was also associated with greater disease severity by linear regression modeling (P< 0.001). CONCLUSION: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) disease severity in youth decreased over time in LA County during the first pandemic year, likely a reflection of changing demographics, with younger children infected. A higher infection rate in youth did not lead to higher disease severity over time.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pandemics , Adolescent , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , Child , Humans , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Prospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2
17.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr ; 90(S1): S167-S176, 2022 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1909057

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is essential to ending HIV. Yet, uptake remains uneven across racial and ethnic groups. We aimed to estimate the impacts of alternative PrEP implementation strategies in Los Angeles County. SETTING: Men who have sex with men, residing in Los Angeles County. METHODS: We developed a microsimulation model of HIV transmission, with inputs from key local stakeholders. With this model, we estimated the 15-year (2021-2035) health and racial and ethnic equity impacts of 3 PrEP implementation strategies involving coverage with 9000 additional PrEP units annually, above the Status-quo coverage level. Strategies included PrEP allocation equally (strategy 1), proportionally to HIV prevalence (strategy 2), and proportionally to HIV diagnosis rates (strategy 3), across racial and ethnic groups. We measured the degree of relative equalities in the distribution of the health impacts using the Gini index (G) which ranges from 0 (perfect equality, with all individuals across all groups receiving equal health benefits) to 1 (total inequality). RESULTS: HIV prevalence was 21.3% in 2021 [Black (BMSM), 31.1%; Latino (LMSM), 18.3%, and White (WMSM), 20.7%] with relatively equal to reasonable distribution across groups (G, 0.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.26 to 0.34). During 2021-2035, cumulative incident infections were highest under Status-quo (n = 24,584) and lowest under strategy 3 (n = 22,080). Status-quo infection risk declined over time among all groups but remained higher in 2035 for BMSM (incidence rate ratio, 4.76; 95% CI: 4.58 to 4.95), and LMSM (incidence rate ratio, 1.74; 95% CI: 1.69 to 1.80), with the health benefits equally to reasonably distributed across groups (G, 0.32; 95% CI: 0.28 to 0.35). Relative to Status-quo, all other strategies reduced BMSM-WMSM and BMSM-LMSM disparities, but none reduced LMSM-WMSM disparities by 2035. Compared to Status-quo, strategy 3 reduced the most both incident infections (% infections averted: overall, 10.2%; BMSM, 32.4%; LMSM, 3.8%; WMSM, 3.5%) and HIV racial inequalities (G reduction, 0.08; 95% CI: 0.02 to 0.14). CONCLUSIONS: Microsimulation models developed with early, continuous stakeholder engagement and inputs yield powerful tools to guide policy implementation.


Subject(s)
Anti-HIV Agents , HIV Infections , Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis , Sexual and Gender Minorities , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Infections/prevention & control , Homosexuality, Male , Humans , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Male
18.
PLoS One ; 17(6): e0268688, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1902633

ABSTRACT

Los Angeles, California became a warzone of COVID-19 infections with up to one death every 10 minutes at the end of 2020. As resources thinned, and ICU beds and ventilators became scarce, physicians began agonizing over potentially rationing medical care. In this study, we conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of 7,429 confirmed COVID-19 positive patients from two community hospitals in Los Angeles, California between March 16, 2020 and June 9, 2021. We applied the Cox proportional hazards regression model to determine the risk factors most strongly associated with in-hospital mortality. Using the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, there was a higher hazard ratio (HR) for mortality in patients who were older (age ≥60 years) [HR 2.189, 95% CI 1.991-2.407, p<0.001], had low triage oxygenation < 90% [HR 1.439, 95% CI 1.339-1.546, p<0.001], had chronic kidney disease (CKD) [HR 1.348, 95% CI 1.234-1.496, p = 0.001)], and who were obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m^2) [HR 1.221, 95% CI 1.155-1.340, p = 0.003)]. Overall, our study concluded that age ≥ 60 years, low triage oxygenation less than 90%, chronic kidney disease, and obesity were the top patient characteristics associated with increased mortality for both the univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards model analyses. Furthermore, by separating our data set into a development and validation set, we created a novel prediction tool to forecast in-hospital mortality and achieved 86% accuracy.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic , Aged , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/therapy , Cohort Studies , Hospital Mortality , Hospitals , Humans , Los Angeles/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Proportional Hazards Models , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Triage
19.
J Appl Lab Med ; 7(5): 1169-1174, 2022 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1878795

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The objective of this analysis was to compare the performance sensitivity and specificity of manufacturer-recommended signal-to-cutoff (S/Co) thresholds with modified S/Co values to estimate the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies in a cohort of firefighters with a known infection history. METHODS: Plasma venipuncture samples were used for serologic analysis of firefighters in Los Angeles, CA, USA, in October 2020. Seropositivity was assessed using the manufacturer's recommended S/Co (≥1.4 IgG) and modified S/Co thresholds based on measured antibody levels in 178 negative control patients who had blood drawn prior to the emergence of COVID-19. Optimal S/Co threshold was determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: Of 585 firefighters included in the study, 52 (8.9%) reported having a PCR-positive test history prior to antibody testing. Thirty-five (67.3%) firefighters with a previous PCR-positive test were seropositive based on the manufacturer S/Co thresholds, consistent with an estimated 67.3% sensitivity and 100% specificity. After evaluating multiple modified S/Co thresholds based on pre-pandemic negative samples, a modified S/Co of 0.36 was found to yield optimal sensitivity (88.5%) and specificity (99.4%) by ROC curve analysis. This modified threshold improved serostatus classification accuracy by 21.2%. CONCLUSIONS: S/Co thresholds based on known negative samples significantly increase seropositivity and more accurately estimate cumulative incidence of disease compared to manufacturer-based thresholds.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Firefighters , Antibodies, Viral , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , Humans , Incidence , Los Angeles/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2
20.
Int J Environ Res Public Health ; 19(9)2022 04 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1818131

ABSTRACT

U.S. non-citizen residents are burdened by inequitable access to socioeconomic resources, potentially placing them at heightened risk of COVID-19-related disparities. However, COVID-19 impacts on non-citizens are not well understood. Accordingly, the current study investigated COVID-19 mortality disparities within New York (NYC) and Los Angeles (LAC) to test our hypothesis that areas with large proportions of non-citizens will have disproportionately high COVID-19 mortality rates. We examined ecological associations between March 2020-January 2021 COVID-19 mortality rates (per 100,000 residents) and percent non-citizens (using ZIP Code Tabulation Areas (ZCTA) for NYC and City/Community units of analysis for LAC) while controlling for sociodemographic factors. Multiple linear regression analyses revealed significant positive associations between the percentage of non-citizen residents and COVID-19 mortality rates in NYC (95% CI 0.309, 5.181) and LAC (95% CI 0.498, 8.720). Despite NYC and LAC policies intended to provide sanctuary and improve healthcare access for non-citizen residents, communities with larger proportions of non-citizens appear to endure higher COVID-19 mortality rates. The challenges that non-citizens endure-e.g., inequitable access to public benefits-may discourage help-seeking behaviors. Thus, improved health surveillance, public health messaging, and sanctuary policies will be essential for reducing COVID-19 mortality disparities in communities with large shares of non-citizens.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiology , Citizenship , Humans , Los Angeles/epidemiology , New York/epidemiology , New York City/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2
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